Ulverstonevs
Launceston United
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania NPL · 3/22/2026, 1:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ulverstone · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ulverstone are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 4.20 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Launceston United are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 4.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Launceston United hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 17.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.2% in the Tasmania NPL, while Ulverstone holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ulverstone
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
Ulverstone has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 21 · GA 15 · avg 4.20/3.00
GF 4 · GA 24 · avg 0.80/4.80