Ulverstonevs
Launceston U21
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 8/23/2025, 6:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ulverstone · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Ulverstone are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 5.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Launceston U21 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulverstone hold a 19.4-point power-rating edge (63.4 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.5% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Ulverstone holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ulverstone
Probability
70.5%
Model confidence
70.5%
Ulverstone has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 25 · GA 7 · avg 5.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20