Ulverstonevs
Launceston U21
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 8/17/2024, 6:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ulverstone · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Ulverstone are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Launceston U21 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulverstone hold a 19.4-point power-rating edge (63.4 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.5% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Ulverstone holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ulverstone
Probability
70.5%
Model confidence
70.5%
Ulverstone has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 9 · avg 3.40/1.80
GF 9 · GA 18 · avg 1.80/3.60