GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 4/13/2024, 6:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ulverstone · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Ulverstone are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 4.33 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Launceston U21 are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WLW), averaging 3.67 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulverstone hold a 19.4-point power-rating edge (63.4 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.5% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Ulverstone holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ulverstone

Probability

70.5%

Model confidence

70.5%

Ulverstone has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UlverstoneWWW

GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 4.33/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
Launceston U21WLW

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 3.67/3.00

BTTS 3/3O2.5 3/3
UlverstoneLaunceston U21
98.4Attack55.6
38.1Defence33.3
65.1Form44.4
63.4Power44.0
4.50xG1.94
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