GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 6/14/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Launceston City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4

Highconfidence

Ulverstone are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Launceston City are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Launceston City hold a 37.5-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 52.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 81.6% in the Tasmania NPL, while Launceston City holds the strongest overall chance at 82% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Launceston City

Probability

81.6%

Model confidence

81.6%

Launceston City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UlverstoneLLLLL

GF 1 · GA 15 · avg 0.20/3.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Launceston CityWLLLW

GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
UlverstoneLaunceston City
27.8Attack71.9
0.0Defence35.1
7.4Form56.1
15.3Power52.9
1.28xG4.50
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