GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 5/4/2024, 6:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Devonport U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3

Highconfidence

Ulverstone are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Devonport U21 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Devonport U21 hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (63.4 v 72.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.0% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Devonport U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 90% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Devonport U21

Probability

51.0%

Model confidence

51.0%

Devonport U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UlverstoneLWWWW

GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Devonport U21LLLWW

GF 18 · GA 20 · avg 3.60/4.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
UlverstoneDevonport U21
98.4Attack100.0
38.1Defence59.3
65.1Form77.8
63.4Power72.9
2.66xG3.65
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