Ulverstonevs
Burnie Utd.
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 7/19/2025, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ulverstone · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2
Ulverstone are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 4.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Burnie Utd. are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulverstone hold a 30.5-point power-rating edge (63.4 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.0% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Ulverstone holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 92% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ulverstone
Probability
58.0%
Model confidence
58.0%
Ulverstone has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 21 · GA 6 · avg 4.20/1.20
GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20