UlverstonevsBurnie Utd.

Ulverstone are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Burnie Utd. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulverstone hold a 30.5-point power-rating edge (63.4 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.0% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Ulverstone holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 92% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.