Ulverstone U21vs
Somerset
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 8/8/2026, 6:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ulverstone U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2
Ulverstone U21 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Somerset are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and ulverstone U21 hold a 11.8-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 47.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely result in the Tasmania Northern Championship, favouring Ulverstone U21 with 7.0% confidence, a 92% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ulverstone U21
Probability
59.3%
Model confidence
7.0%
Ulverstone U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40