GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 4/18/2026, 6:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ulverstone U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2

Lowconfidence

Ulverstone U21 are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (DWWL), averaging 3.25 scored and 2.25 conceded, while Somerset are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 9 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulverstone U21 hold a 21.1-point power-rating edge (60.4 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.3% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Ulverstone U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 89% BTTS chance and 95% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ulverstone U21

Probability

64.6%

Model confidence

7.3%

Ulverstone U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ulverstone U21DWWL

GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 3.25/2.25

BTTS 3/4O2.5 4/4
SomersetLLWWW

GF 15 · GA 10 · avg 3.00/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Ulverstone U21Somerset
83.3Attack74.1
42.6Defence9.3
61.1Form42.6
60.4Power39.4
4.50xG2.39
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