Ulverstone U21vs
Somerset
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 4/18/2026, 6:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ulverstone U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2
Ulverstone U21 are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (DWWL), averaging 3.25 scored and 2.25 conceded, while Somerset are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 9 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulverstone U21 hold a 21.1-point power-rating edge (60.4 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.3% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Ulverstone U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 89% BTTS chance and 95% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ulverstone U21
Probability
64.6%
Model confidence
7.3%
Ulverstone U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 3.25/2.25
GF 15 · GA 10 · avg 3.00/2.00