GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 8/22/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ulverstone U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Lowconfidence

Ulverstone U21 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Riverside Olympic U21 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulverstone U21 hold a 34.7-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 24.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.9% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Ulverstone U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ulverstone U21

Probability

78.3%

Model confidence

8.9%

Ulverstone U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ulverstone U21WWLWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Riverside Olympic U21LLWLL

GF 4 · GA 17 · avg 0.80/3.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Ulverstone U21Riverside Olympic U21
84.3Attack47.1
39.2Defence0.0
58.8Form29.4
58.8Power24.1
4.50xG1.55
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