GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 3/21/2026, 3:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ulverstone U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Lowconfidence

Ulverstone U21 are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 4.00 conceded, while Launceston United U21 are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 8.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulverstone U21 hold a 43.0-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 15.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.9% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Ulverstone U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ulverstone U21

Probability

86.6%

Model confidence

9.9%

Ulverstone U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ulverstone U21L

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/4.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Launceston United U21LLLLL

GF 1 · GA 40 · avg 0.20/8.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Ulverstone U21Launceston United U21
84.3Attack28.1
39.2Defence0.0
58.8Form14.0
58.8Power15.8
4.50xG1.03
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