GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 5/22/2026, 10:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ulverstone U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Lowconfidence

Ulverstone U21 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Launceston U21 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulverstone U21 hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (60.4 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.5% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Ulverstone U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ulverstone U21

Probability

70.5%

Model confidence

7.5%

Ulverstone U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ulverstone U21DLWDW

GF 15 · GA 13 · avg 3.00/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Launceston U21LWLLL

GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Ulverstone U21Launceston U21
83.3Attack55.6
42.6Defence33.3
61.1Form44.4
60.4Power44.0
4.06xG1.81
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