Ulverstone U21vs
Burnie Utd.
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 6/19/2026, 10:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ulverstone U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2
Ulverstone U21 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Burnie Utd. are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulverstone U21 hold a 27.5-point power-rating edge (60.4 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.2% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Ulverstone U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 90% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ulverstone U21
Probability
62.2%
Model confidence
7.2%
Ulverstone U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60
GF 14 · GA 15 · avg 2.80/3.00