Ulverstone U21vsBurnie Utd.

Ulverstone U21 are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Burnie Utd. are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 4.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulverstone U21 hold a 27.5-point power-rating edge (60.4 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.2% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Ulverstone U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 90% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.