Ulsan Hyundai FCvs
Pohang Steelers
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 1 · 10/24/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ulsan Hyundai FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ulsan Hyundai FC 1-0 Pohang Steelers, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ulsan Hyundai FC 2-2 Pohang Steelers
Original prediction
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 50.3% | 44.9% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 25.7% | 29.0% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 3.87 | 24.0% | 26.1% | 2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.61 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.5 pts
Projected Score
Ulsan Hyundai FC 1–0 Pohang Steelers
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Ulsan Hyundai FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80