Ulsan Hyundai FCvs
Incheon United
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 1 · 9/12/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ulsan Hyundai FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ulsan Hyundai FC 2-1 Incheon United
Original prediction
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 42.0% | 41.9% | -0.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 28.2% | 27.1% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.10 | 29.9% | 31.0% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Ulsan Hyundai FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00