Ulsan Hyundai FCvs
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 1 · 8/29/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ulsan Hyundai FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ulsan Hyundai FC 3-1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Original prediction
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 46.3% | 49.3% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 26.4% | 26.6% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.40 | 27.3% | 24.1% | -3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–014%
Predicted outcome
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Ulsan Hyundai FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60