Ulsan Hyundai FCvs
FC Seoul
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 1 · 9/8/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Seoul · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ulsan Hyundai FC 1-0 FC Seoul
Original prediction
FC Seoul
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.55 | 26.2% | 19.3% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.9% | 23.2% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 1.94 | 48.0% | 57.6% | 9.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–113%
- 2.1–112%
- 3.0–212%
Predicted outcome
FC Seoul
Probability
57.6%
Model confidence
57.6%
FC Seoul has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 18 · GA 4 · avg 3.60/0.80