Ulsan Hyundai FCvs
Bucheon FC 1995
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 1 · 10/17/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ulsan Hyundai FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ulsan Hyundai FC 2-1 Bucheon FC 1995
Original prediction
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 56.6% | 56.1% | -0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 23.9% | 24.3% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 4.76 | 19.5% | 19.6% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Probability
56.1%
Model confidence
56.1%
Ulsan Hyundai FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60