GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K3 League · 4/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ulsan Citizen · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Ulsan Citizen are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Jeonbuk Motors II are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulsan Citizen hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 34.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the K3 League, while Ulsan Citizen holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ulsan Citizen

Probability

46.8%

Model confidence

14.1%

Ulsan Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ulsan CitizenWLWLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Jeonbuk Motors IILDLDL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Ulsan CitizenJeonbuk Motors II
33.3Attack33.3
52.2Defence39.3
37.8Form23.8
43.5Power34.8
1.33xG0.85
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