Ulsan Citizenvs
Gyeongju HNP
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K3 League · 9/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gyeongju HNP · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ulsan Citizen 1-2 Gyeongju HNP
Original prediction
Gyeongju HNP
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.51 | 25.7% | 35.7% | 9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.6% | 28.6% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 1.98 | 45.7% | 35.8% | -10.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.98 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Gyeongju HNP
Probability
35.8%
Model confidence
35.8%
Gyeongju HNP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40