GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K3 League · 3/18/2023, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ulsan Citizen are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Gyeongju HNP are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 3 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Gyeongju HNP hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 47.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the K3 League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

41.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ulsan CitizenWD

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Gyeongju HNPL

GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Ulsan CitizenGyeongju HNP
33.3Attack33.3
52.2Defence61.9
37.8Form40.5
43.5Power47.2
0.81xG0.88
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