Ulsan Citizenvs
Gwangju FC
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · FA Cup · 8/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ulsan Citizen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ulsan Citizen 0-1 Gwangju FC
Original prediction
Ulsan Citizen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Ulsan Citizen
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Ulsan Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ulsan CitizenWLWWW
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Gwangju FCLDLWL
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Ulsan CitizenGwangju FC
33.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence44.4
33.3Form66.7
45.3Power51.4
1.75xG1.40