GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K3 League · 3/14/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dangjin Citizen · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Ulsan Citizen are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Dangjin Citizen are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Dangjin Citizen hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 54.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.9% in the K3 League, while Dangjin Citizen holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dangjin Citizen

Probability

51.6%

Model confidence

12.9%

Dangjin Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ulsan CitizenWDWLD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Dangjin CitizenLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ulsan CitizenDangjin Citizen
33.3Attack61.4
52.2Defence52.6
37.8Form49.1
43.5Power54.6
0.98xG1.65
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