GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K3 League · 5/1/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ulsan Citizen are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Daejeon Korail are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Daejeon Korail hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the K3 League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.4%

Model confidence

38.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ulsan CitizenDLDWL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Daejeon KorailWWLLD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Ulsan CitizenDaejeon Korail
33.3Attack40.5
52.2Defence61.9
37.8Form46.4
43.5Power51.6
0.80xG1.08
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