Ulsan Citizenvs
Busan Transportation
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K3 League · 8/30/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Busan Transportation · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ulsan Citizen 0-1 Busan Transportation, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ulsan Citizen 2-1 Busan Transportation
Original prediction
Busan Transportation
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.59 | 25.3% | 20.5% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.8% | 27.2% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 1.93 | 46.9% | 52.3% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.3 pts
Projected Score
Ulsan Citizen 0–1 Busan Transportation
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Busan Transportation
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
Busan Transportation has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40