Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lørenskog · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-3 (8%), 2-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ull/Kisa 0-4 Lørenskog
Original prediction
Lørenskog
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 08:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.87 | 31.7% | 23.7% | -7.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.92 | 23.1% | 19.0% | -4.1 pts |
| Away | 2.01 | 45.2% | 57.3% | 12.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.01 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.2–26%
Predicted outcome
Lørenskog
Probability
57.3%
Model confidence
57.3%
Lørenskog has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ull/KisaLWLLL
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
LørenskogLDLWL
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Ull/KisaLørenskog
41.7Attack52.8
0.0Defence40.3
18.1Form47.2
23.1Power46.7
1.55xG2.88