Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kjelsås · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-4 (10%), 1-5 (9%), 1-3 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ull/Kisa 1-2 Kjelsås
Original prediction
Kjelsås
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.07 | 11.3% | 7.1% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 5.84 | 15.6% | 10.1% | -5.5 pts |
| Away | 1.25 | 73.1% | 82.8% | 9.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–410%
- 2.1–59%
- 3.1–39%
Predicted outcome
Kjelsås
Probability
82.8%
Model confidence
82.8%
Kjelsås has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ull/KisaLLLLL
GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 0.80/3.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
KjelsåsDLLWL
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Ull/KisaKjelsås
39.7Attack77.8
0.0Defence50.8
15.9Form69.8
21.9Power65.8
1.15xG4.50