Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Junkeren · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ull/Kisa 2-3 Junkeren
Original prediction
Junkeren
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.47 | 36.5% | 24.3% | -12.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 22.8% | 18.7% | -4.0 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 40.8% | 56.9% | 16.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.1–38%
Predicted outcome
Junkeren
Probability
56.9%
Model confidence
56.9%
Junkeren has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ull/KisaLLLLD
GF 9 · GA 18 · avg 1.80/3.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
JunkerenWDDLL
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Ull/KisaJunkeren
40.4Attack45.6
0.0Defence45.6
17.5Form43.9
22.6Power46.8
1.37xG2.50