Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ull/Kisa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Ull/Kisa are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Follo are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ull/Kisa hold a 48.7-point power-rating edge (64.0 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Ull/Kisa holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ull/Kisa
Probability
77.6%
Model confidence
10.0%
Ull/Kisa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 15 · avg 2.80/3.00
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40