Ullernvs
Vålerenga II
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 1 · 9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ullern · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-2 (7%), 4-2 (7%), 3-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ullern 2-1 Vålerenga II
Original prediction
Ullern
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 45.3% | 48.4% | 3.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.14 | 21.7% | 22.8% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.73 | 33.0% | 28.8% | -4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.99 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–27%
- 2.4–27%
- 3.3–16%
Predicted outcome
Ullern
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Ullern has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 18 · avg 2.80/3.60
GF 14 · GA 15 · avg 2.80/3.00