Ullernvs
Nordstrand
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 1 · 10/24/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ullern · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-2 (6%), 2-2 (6%), 3-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ullern 6-0 Nordstrand
Original prediction
Ullern
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 09:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 48.8% | 43.6% | -5.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.10 | 22.0% | 23.1% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.08 | 29.2% | 33.3% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–26%
- 2.2–26%
- 3.3–36%
Predicted outcome
Ullern
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Ullern has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40