Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Asker · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-2 (7%), 3-3 (6%), 2-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ullern 2-6 Asker
Original prediction
Asker
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.76 | 13.3% | 35.3% | 22.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.88 | 18.4% | 22.8% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 1.31 | 68.3% | 41.9% | -26.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-26.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–27%
- 2.3–36%
- 3.2–26%
Predicted outcome
Asker
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Asker has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
UllernWWLLW
GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
AskerWWLLL
GF 13 · GA 13 · avg 2.60/2.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
UllernAsker
82.7Attack100.0
32.0Defence0.0
52.0Form100.0
55.1Power72.0
3.34xG2.69