Uljanikvs
Slavonija Požega
COMPLETEDCroatia · Second NL · 9/25/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Uljanik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Uljanik 3-3 Slavonija Požega
Original prediction
Uljanik
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 18:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.49 | 60.4% | 42.4% | -18.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.01 | 22.4% | 26.7% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 5.24 | 17.2% | 30.9% | 13.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.01 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Uljanik
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Uljanik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
UljanikLDWWL
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Slavonija PožegaWLWLD
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
UljanikSlavonija Požega
0.0Attack16.7
0.0Defence50.0
0.0Form16.7
7.0Power31.3
1.41xG1.37