Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Uljanik · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Uljanik 2-2 Lucko
Original prediction
Uljanik
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 18:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 51.2% | 50.6% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.1% | 26.0% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.82 | 23.6% | 23.4% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.60 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.1–112%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Uljanik
Probability
50.6%
Model confidence
50.6%
Uljanik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
UljanikWWLWD
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
LuckoLWDLD
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
UljanikLucko
50.0Attack35.6
83.3Defence48.9
66.7Form32.2
68.0Power40.8
1.76xG0.80