Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Uljanik · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Uljanik 3-0 Dugo Selo
Original prediction
Uljanik
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 52.6% | 44.3% | -8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 24.8% | 27.7% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 4.02 | 22.6% | 28.1% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Uljanik
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
44.3%
Uljanik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
UljanikWLWDL
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Dugo SeloWDWWW
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
UljanikDugo Selo
50.0Attack43.3
83.3Defence58.9
66.7Form41.1
68.0Power48.4
1.39xG1.00