Ukraine Wvs
Slovakia W
COMPLETEDWorld · World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe · 10/13/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ukraine W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ukraine W 1-0 Slovakia W
Original prediction
Ukraine W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 55.5% | 39.3% | -16.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 24.7% | 27.2% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 4.55 | 19.8% | 33.5% | 13.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Ukraine W
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Ukraine W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80