Ukraine U21vs
Albania U21
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies · 10/5/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ukraine U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ukraine U21 2-2 Albania U21
Original prediction
Ukraine U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 52.9% | 37.8% | -15.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.4% | 26.8% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 4.01 | 22.7% | 35.4% | 12.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.73 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Ukraine U21
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Ukraine U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20