GGOALVIO

Hungary · NB I · 9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ujpest · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Ujpest 2-1 Zalaegerszegi TE

Original prediction

Ujpest

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8050.8%65.2%14.4 pts
Draw3.6724.9%18.5%-6.4 pts
Away3.7624.3%16.3%-8.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

14.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–09%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.3–09%

Predicted outcome

Ujpest

Probability

65.2%

Model confidence

65.2%

Ujpest has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UjpestWDWLD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Zalaegerszegi TEWWLLL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
UjpestZalaegerszegi TE
71.4Attack28.6
42.9Defence28.6
52.4Form28.6
56.5Power30.7
2.95xG0.99
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