Ujpestvs
Puskas Academy
COMPLETEDHungary · NB I · 10/17/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ujpest · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ujpest 0-1 Puskas Academy
Original prediction
Ujpest
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 42.1% | 40.9% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.7% | 23.5% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.83 | 32.2% | 35.6% | 3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Ujpest
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Ujpest has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
UjpestDDWWD
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Puskas AcademyWLWWL
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
UjpestPuskas Academy
66.7Attack51.9
48.1Defence63.0
55.6Form66.7
58.2Power62.7
1.59xG1.50