GGOALVIO

Hungary · NB I · 7/29/2023, 6:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fehérvár FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ujpest are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Fehérvár FC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ujpest hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 56.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.0% in the NB I, while Fehérvár FC holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fehérvár FC

Probability

36.0%

Model confidence

36.0%

Fehérvár FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UjpestLWWWL

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Fehérvár FCDDWLD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
UjpestFehérvár FC
100.0Attack55.6
33.3Defence59.6
66.7Form54.5
67.2Power56.5
1.66xG1.67
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