Uherský Brodvs
Frýdek-Místek
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - MSFL · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frýdek-Místek · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Uherský Brod 1-3 Frýdek-Místek
Original prediction
Frýdek-Místek
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.19 | 28.3% | 34.0% | 5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.0% | 26.6% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 1.97 | 45.7% | 39.4% | -6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.97 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Frýdek-Místek
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Frýdek-Místek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80