GGOALVIO

Bhutan · Premier League · 5/21/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tsirang · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Ugyen Academy are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Tsirang are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Tsirang hold a 29.6-point power-rating edge (13.1 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.1% in the Premier League, while Tsirang holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tsirang

Probability

67.1%

Model confidence

67.1%

Tsirang has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ugyen AcademyLLWWL

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
TsirangLLLLW

GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Ugyen AcademyTsirang
19.4Attack47.2
0.0Defence41.7
11.1Form33.3
13.1Power42.7
1.15xG2.78
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