GGOALVIO

Bhutan · Premier League · 6/16/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Thimphu · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Ugyen Academy are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Thimphu are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LLWL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Thimphu hold a 31.2-point power-rating edge (13.1 v 44.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.2% in the Premier League, while Thimphu holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Thimphu

Probability

58.5%

Model confidence

11.2%

Thimphu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ugyen AcademyWLLLW

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ThimphuLLWL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.50/1.50

BTTS 0/4O2.5 1/4
Ugyen AcademyThimphu
19.4Attack33.3
0.0Defence48.7
11.1Form43.6
13.1Power44.2
1.00xG1.98
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