Uganda U20vs
Burundi U20
COMPLETEDWorld · CECAFA U20 Championship · 9/24/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Uganda U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Uganda U20 2-0 Burundi U20
Original prediction
Uganda U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 06:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 53.3% | 42.0% | -11.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.0% | 28.3% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 4.50 | 19.8% | 29.7% | 10.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Uganda U20
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Uganda U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00