Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 1 August 202615:00Updated today
Udinese

Udinese

Home
L
vs
15:00
FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

FSV Mainz 0533%
Udinese33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Udinese
33%
Draw
33%
FSV Mainz 05
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Udinese
9
FSV Mainz 05
99
Defence
Udinese
66
FSV Mainz 05
66
Momentum
Udinese
0
FSV Mainz 05
100
Danger (xG)
Udinese
0.37
FSV Mainz 05
3.60
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Udinese)
0.37
avg per match
xG for (FSV Mainz 05)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Udinese)
1.76
avg per match
xG against (FSV Mainz 05)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
UdineseUdinese
LL
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
WW

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Udinese33%
Draw33%
FSV Mainz 0533%

FSV Mainz 05 leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

Udinese head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (L), while FSV Mainz 05 arrive in mixed form (W). Udinese have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for FSV Mainz 05 over 1 games.

Tactically, FSV Mainz 05 hold the edge. Their elite attack (99/100) is pitted against a solid Udinese defence (66/100), while Udinese's attack faces a solid FSV Mainz 05 backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Udinese have limited home data in the engine at this stage. FSV Mainz 05 have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

Udinese have generated 0.37 xG per game recently while conceding 1.76 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between Udinese and FSV Mainz 05 in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Udinese 3333%, Draw 3333%, FSV Mainz 05 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Udinese

Udinese

L
@ Napoli
24 May 2026
01
xG 0.4
L
@ Inter
28 May 2017
25
FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05

W
vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
17 Jul 2026
41
W
@ 1. FC Heidenheim
16 May 2026
20

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Udinese vs FSV Mainz 05?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Udinese vs FSV Mainz 05?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Udinese vs FSV Mainz 05?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Udinese vs FSV Mainz 05?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more