GGOALVIO

Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/7/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

UD Ourense · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

UD Ourense are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Real Valladolid II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and UD Ourense hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (55.3 v 48.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1, while UD Ourense holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

UD Ourense

Probability

43.3%

Model confidence

43.3%

UD Ourense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UD OurenseLL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Real Valladolid IIDLWLW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
UD OurenseReal Valladolid II
39.2Attack57.8
66.7Defence43.1
53.9Form44.1
55.3Power48.9
1.46xG1.03
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