UD Ourensevs
Mérida AD
SCHEDULEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 11/14/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mérida AD · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 16 October 2026 at 02:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Mérida AD
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Mérida AD has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
UD OurenseWDDLL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Mérida ADWWLLL
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
UD OurenseMérida AD
16.7Attack55.6
50.0Defence33.3
27.8Form33.3
34.9Power42.8
1.21xG1.38