UD Logroñésvs
Pontevedra
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/18/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UD Logroñés · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: UD Logroñés 0-0 Pontevedra, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
UD Logroñés 1-1 Pontevedra
Original prediction
UD Logroñés
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 45.0% | 37.4% | -7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.03 | 29.9% | 30.9% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.61 | 25.1% | 31.6% | 6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.03 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.6 pts
Projected Score
UD Logroñés 0–0 Pontevedra
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
UD Logroñés
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
UD Logroñés has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.40
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60